Match Analysis

LatviavsMontenegro

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

29%
26%
45%
Latvia winDrawMontenegro win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game2.20
0.53Avg goals scored1.70
1.52Avg goals conceded0.97
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)3–2–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.1

Latvia xG

Expected goals

1.5

Montenegro xG

52%

Both Teams to Score

48%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

0–1

11%

1–2

9%

0–2

8%

1–0

8%

0–0

7%

Home

Latvia

Latvia

LLDLW

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

0.5 / 1.5

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Montenegro

Montenegro

DWWWD

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.0

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Latvia vs Montenegro?

Montenegro is favored with a 45% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Latvia's current form?

Latvia have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 52%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Latvia Win29%
Draw26%
Montenegro Win45%
BTTS52%
Over 2.548%