Match Analysis

LiechtensteinvsAzerbaijan

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

33%
31%
36%
Liechtenstein winDrawAzerbaijan win

Key Stats

0.20Points per game2.20
0.00Avg goals scored0.67
0.94Avg goals conceded0.31
0–1–4Record (W–D–L)3–2–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1

Liechtenstein xG

Expected goals

1.1

Azerbaijan xG

42%

Both Teams to Score

35%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

13%

1–1

13%

0–0

12%

1–0

12%

0–2

7%

1–2

7%

Home

Liechtenstein

Liechtenstein

LDLLL

PPG

0.20

Last 5

0W 1D 4L

Away

Azerbaijan

Azerbaijan

WDDWW

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

0.7 / 0.3

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Liechtenstein vs Azerbaijan?

Azerbaijan is favored with a 36% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Liechtenstein's current form?

Liechtenstein have recorded 0W 1D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 42%. Over 2.5 goals: 35%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Liechtenstein Win33%
Draw31%
Azerbaijan Win36%
BTTS42%
Over 2.535%