Match Analysis

LithuaniavsLiechtenstein

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

45%
28%
27%
Lithuania winDrawLiechtenstein win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game0.20
0.94Avg goals scored0.00
0.69Avg goals conceded0.94
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)0–1–4

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

Lithuania xG

Expected goals

0.9

Liechtenstein xG

43%

Both Teams to Score

38%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

14%

1–1

13%

0–0

11%

0–1

10%

2–0

9%

2–1

8%

Home

Lithuania

Lithuania

LWDWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

0.9 / 0.7

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Liechtenstein

Liechtenstein

LDLLL

PPG

0.20

Last 5

0W 1D 4L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lithuania vs Liechtenstein?

Lithuania is favored with a 45% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lithuania's current form?

Lithuania have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (14% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 43%. Over 2.5 goals: 38%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lithuania Win45%
Draw28%
Liechtenstein Win27%
BTTS43%
Over 2.538%