Lithuaniavs
Liechtenstein
UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.3
Lithuania xG
Expected goals
0.9
Liechtenstein xG
43%
Both Teams to Score
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
14%
1–1
13%
0–0
11%
0–1
10%
2–0
9%
2–1
8%
Home
Lithuania
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
0.9 / 0.7
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Liechtenstein
PPG
0.20
Last 5
0W 1D 4L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Lithuania vs Liechtenstein?
Lithuania is favored with a 45% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Lithuania's current form?
Lithuania have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (14% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 43%. Over 2.5 goals: 38%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
More from UEFA Nations League