Match Analysis

LuxembourgvsIceland

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

22%
26%
52%
Luxembourg winDrawIceland win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.60
0.46Avg goals scored1.73
1.75Avg goals conceded0.23
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.9

Luxembourg xG

Expected goals

1.5

Iceland xG

46%

Both Teams to Score

43%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

14%

1–1

12%

0–2

10%

0–0

9%

1–2

9%

1–0

8%

Home

Luxembourg

Luxembourg

DLLWW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

0.5 / 1.8

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Iceland

Iceland

DWWDL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.7 / 0.2

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Luxembourg vs Iceland?

Iceland is favored with a 52% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Luxembourg's current form?

Luxembourg have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (14% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 46%. Over 2.5 goals: 43%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Luxembourg Win22%
Draw26%
Iceland Win52%
BTTS46%
Over 2.543%