Match Analysis

MaltavsAndorra

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

48%
28%
24%
Malta winDrawAndorra win

Key Stats

2.60Points per game0.20
1.30Avg goals scored0.31
0.64Avg goals conceded0.98
4–1–0Record (W–D–L)0–1–4

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

Malta xG

Expected goals

0.9

Andorra xG

45%

Both Teams to Score

40%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

14%

1–1

13%

0–0

10%

2–0

10%

0–1

9%

2–1

9%

Home

Malta

Malta

WDWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

1.3 / 0.6

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Away

Andorra

Andorra

LLDLL

PPG

0.20

Avg goals

0.3 / 1.0

Last 5

0W 1D 4L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Malta vs Andorra?

Malta is favored with a 48% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Malta's current form?

Malta have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (14% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 45%. Over 2.5 goals: 40%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Malta Win48%
Draw28%
Andorra Win24%
BTTS45%
Over 2.540%