Match Analysis

MaltavsGibraltar

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

44%
28%
28%
Malta winDrawGibraltar win

Key Stats

2.60Points per game1.80
1.30Avg goals scored0.52
0.64Avg goals conceded0.52
4–1–0Record (W–D–L)2–3–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

Malta xG

Expected goals

1

Gibraltar xG

46%

Both Teams to Score

40%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

13%

1–1

13%

0–0

10%

0–1

10%

2–0

8%

2–1

8%

Home

Malta

Malta

WDWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

1.3 / 0.6

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Away

Gibraltar

Gibraltar

WDDDW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

0.5 / 0.5

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Malta vs Gibraltar?

Malta is favored with a 44% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Malta's current form?

Malta have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 46%. Over 2.5 goals: 40%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Malta Win44%
Draw28%
Gibraltar Win28%
BTTS46%
Over 2.540%