Match Analysis

MoldovavsKazakhstan

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

36%
25%
39%
Moldova winDrawKazakhstan win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game0.40
0.75Avg goals scored1.27
2.05Avg goals conceded1.77
1–3–1Record (W–D–L)0–2–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

Moldova xG

Expected goals

1.5

Kazakhstan xG

59%

Both Teams to Score

55%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

1–2

9%

0–1

8%

1–0

8%

2–1

8%

0–0

6%

Home

Moldova

Moldova

DWDLD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

0.8 / 2.0

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Away

Kazakhstan

Kazakhstan

DLLDL

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.8

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Moldova vs Kazakhstan?

Kazakhstan is favored with a 39% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Moldova's current form?

Moldova have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Moldova Win36%
Draw25%
Kazakhstan Win39%
BTTS59%
Over 2.555%