Match Analysis

MontenegrovsArmenia

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

49%
25%
26%
Montenegro winDrawArmenia win

Key Stats

2.20Points per game1.00
1.69Avg goals scored0.94
0.97Avg goals conceded1.23
3–2–0Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

Montenegro xG

Expected goals

1.1

Armenia xG

53%

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

1–0

11%

2–0

9%

2–1

9%

0–0

7%

0–1

7%

Home

Montenegro

Montenegro

DWWWD

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.0

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Away

Armenia

Armenia

DLLWD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.9 / 1.2

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Montenegro vs Armenia?

Montenegro is favored with a 49% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Montenegro's current form?

Montenegro have recorded 3W 2D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 53%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Montenegro Win49%
Draw25%
Armenia Win26%
BTTS53%
Over 2.551%