Match Analysis

MontenegrovsLatvia

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

54%
24%
22%
Montenegro winDrawLatvia win

Key Stats

2.20Points per game0.80
1.70Avg goals scored0.53
0.97Avg goals conceded1.52
3–2–0Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

Montenegro xG

Expected goals

1

Latvia xG

52%

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

11%

1–1

11%

2–0

10%

2–1

10%

0–0

7%

0–1

7%

Home

Montenegro

Montenegro

DWWWD

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.0

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Away

Latvia

Latvia

LLDLW

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

0.5 / 1.5

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Montenegro vs Latvia?

Montenegro is favored with a 54% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Montenegro's current form?

Montenegro have recorded 3W 2D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 52%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Montenegro Win54%
Draw24%
Latvia Win22%
BTTS52%
Over 2.551%