Match Analysis

NetherlandsvsGreece

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

41%
26%
33%
Netherlands winDrawGreece win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.60
1.77Avg goals scored1.22
1.26Avg goals conceded0.75
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

Netherlands xG

Expected goals

1.2

Greece xG

53%

Both Teams to Score

48%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

1–0

10%

0–1

9%

2–1

9%

0–0

7%

1–2

7%

Home

Netherlands

Netherlands

WDWDL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.3

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Greece

Greece

DDWWL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.2 / 0.7

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Netherlands vs Greece?

Netherlands is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Netherlands's current form?

Netherlands have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 53%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Netherlands Win41%
Draw26%
Greece Win33%
BTTS53%
Over 2.548%