Match Analysis

North MacedoniavsScotland

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

27%
27%
46%
North Macedonia winDrawScotland win

Key Stats

0.20Points per game1.00
0.00Avg goals scored0.79
2.50Avg goals conceded1.27
0–1–4Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1

North Macedonia xG

Expected goals

1.4

Scotland xG

48%

Both Teams to Score

43%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

13%

1–1

13%

0–0

9%

0–2

9%

1–0

9%

1–2

9%

Home

North Macedonia

North Macedonia

DLLLL

PPG

0.20

Last 5

0W 1D 4L

Away

Scotland

Scotland

DWLDL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.8 / 1.3

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win North Macedonia vs Scotland?

Scotland is favored with a 46% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is North Macedonia's current form?

North Macedonia have recorded 0W 1D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 48%. Over 2.5 goals: 43%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

North Macedonia Win27%
Draw27%
Scotland Win46%
BTTS48%
Over 2.543%