North Macedoniavs
Slovenia
UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.9
North Macedonia xG
Expected goals
1.6
Slovenia xG
47%
Both Teams to Score
46%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
13%
1–1
12%
0–2
11%
1–2
9%
0–0
8%
1–0
7%
Home
North Macedonia
PPG
0.20
Last 5
0W 1D 4L
Away
Slovenia
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
1.3 / 0.8
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win North Macedonia vs Slovenia?
Slovenia is favored with a 54% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is North Macedonia's current form?
North Macedonia have recorded 0W 1D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.9.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 47%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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