Northern Irelandvs
Ukraine
UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.4
Northern Ireland xG
Expected goals
0.7
Ukraine xG
38%
Both Teams to Score
35%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
17%
0–0
12%
1–1
12%
2–0
12%
0–1
9%
2–1
8%
Home
Northern Ireland
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.0 / 0.0
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Away
Ukraine
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
0.5 / 1.3
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Northern Ireland vs Ukraine?
Northern Ireland is favored with a 52% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Northern Ireland's current form?
Northern Ireland have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (17% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 38%. Over 2.5 goals: 35%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
More from UEFA Nations League