Match Analysis

NorwayvsPortugal

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

30%
23%
47%
Norway winDrawPortugal win

Key Stats

0.60Points per game2.40
1.46Avg goals scored2.29
2.00Avg goals conceded1.03
1–0–4Record (W–D–L)4–0–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

Norway xG

Expected goals

1.8

Portugal xG

63%

Both Teams to Score

62%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

1–2

9%

0–1

7%

0–2

7%

2–1

7%

1–0

6%

Home

Norway

Norway

LLLWL

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

1.5 / 2.0

Last 5

1W 0D 4L

Away

Portugal

Portugal

WWWWL

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

2.3 / 1.0

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Norway vs Portugal?

Portugal is favored with a 47% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Norway's current form?

Norway have recorded 1W 0D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Norway Win30%
Draw23%
Portugal Win47%
BTTS63%
Over 2.562%