Match Analysis

PolandvsRomania

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

67%
18%
15%
Poland winDrawRomania win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game0.60
1.79Avg goals scored0.71
1.00Avg goals conceded3.24
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)1–0–4

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.3

Poland xG

Expected goals

1

Romania xG

57%

Both Teams to Score

64%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–0

10%

2–1

10%

1–0

8%

1–1

8%

3–0

7%

3–1

7%

Home

Poland

Poland

LWLDD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.0

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Romania

Romania

LLLLW

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

0.7 / 3.2

Last 5

1W 0D 4L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Poland vs Romania?

Poland is favored with a 67% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Poland's current form?

Poland have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Poland Win67%
Draw18%
Romania Win15%
BTTS57%
Over 2.564%