Match Analysis

PolandvsSweden

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

40%
26%
34%
Poland winDrawSweden win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game2.00
1.79Avg goals scored1.71
1.00Avg goals conceded0.73
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

Poland xG

Expected goals

1.3

Sweden xG

55%

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

0–1

9%

1–0

9%

2–1

9%

1–2

8%

0–0

7%

Home

Poland

Poland

LWLDD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.0

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Sweden

Sweden

WDWWL

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.7 / 0.7

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Poland vs Sweden?

Poland is favored with a 40% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Poland's current form?

Poland have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Poland Win40%
Draw26%
Sweden Win34%
BTTS55%
Over 2.551%