Match Analysis

PortugalvsDenmark

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

53%
22%
25%
Portugal winDrawDenmark win

Key Stats

2.40Points per game1.80
2.29Avg goals scored1.73
1.03Avg goals conceded1.72
4–0–1Record (W–D–L)3–0–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2

Portugal xG

Expected goals

1.3

Denmark xG

63%

Both Teams to Score

64%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

2–1

10%

1–0

7%

2–0

7%

1–2

6%

2–2

6%

Home

Portugal

Portugal

WWWWL

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

2.3 / 1.0

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Away

Denmark

Denmark

WLWLW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.7

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Portugal vs Denmark?

Portugal is favored with a 53% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Portugal's current form?

Portugal have recorded 4W 0D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Portugal Win53%
Draw22%
Denmark Win25%
BTTS63%
Over 2.564%