Match Analysis

PortugalvsNorway

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

57%
21%
22%
Portugal winDrawNorway win

Key Stats

2.40Points per game0.60
2.29Avg goals scored1.46
1.03Avg goals conceded2.00
4–0–1Record (W–D–L)1–0–4

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.1

Portugal xG

Expected goals

1.2

Norway xG

61%

Both Teams to Score

64%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

10%

1–1

9%

1–0

8%

2–0

8%

3–1

7%

1–2

6%

Home

Portugal

Portugal

WWWWL

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

2.3 / 1.0

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Away

Norway

Norway

LLLWL

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

1.5 / 2.0

Last 5

1W 0D 4L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Portugal vs Norway?

Portugal is favored with a 57% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Portugal's current form?

Portugal have recorded 4W 0D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 61%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Portugal Win57%
Draw21%
Norway Win22%
BTTS61%
Over 2.564%