Match Analysis

RomaniavsPoland

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

22%
21%
57%
Romania winDrawPoland win

Key Stats

0.60Points per game1.00
0.71Avg goals scored1.79
3.24Avg goals conceded1.00
1–0–4Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.2

Romania xG

Expected goals

2

Poland xG

60%

Both Teams to Score

62%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

1–2

10%

0–1

8%

0–2

8%

1–3

7%

2–1

6%

Home

Romania

Romania

LLLLW

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

0.7 / 3.2

Last 5

1W 0D 4L

Away

Poland

Poland

LWLDD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.0

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Romania vs Poland?

Poland is favored with a 57% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Romania's current form?

Romania have recorded 1W 0D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 60%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Romania Win22%
Draw21%
Poland Win57%
BTTS60%
Over 2.562%