San Marinovs
Albania
UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1
San Marino xG
Expected goals
2.3
Albania xG
57%
Both Teams to Score
64%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–2
10%
1–2
10%
0–1
8%
1–1
8%
0–3
7%
1–3
7%
Home
San Marino
PPG
0.20
Avg goals
0.3 / 3.9
Last 5
0W 1D 4L
Away
Albania
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
2.0 / 0.8
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win San Marino vs Albania?
Albania is favored with a 68% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is San Marino's current form?
San Marino have recorded 0W 1D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–2 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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