Match Analysis

San MarinovsBelarus

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

16%
21%
63%
San Marino winDrawBelarus win

Key Stats

0.20Points per game1.20
0.27Avg goals scored1.30
3.90Avg goals conceded0.46
0–1–4Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.9

San Marino xG

Expected goals

2

Belarus xG

51%

Both Teams to Score

55%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

11%

0–2

11%

1–1

10%

1–2

10%

0–3

7%

1–3

7%

Home

San Marino

San Marino

DLLLL

PPG

0.20

Avg goals

0.3 / 3.9

Last 5

0W 1D 4L

Away

Belarus

Belarus

DWDLD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.3 / 0.5

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win San Marino vs Belarus?

Belarus is favored with a 63% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is San Marino's current form?

San Marino have recorded 0W 1D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 51%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

San Marino Win16%
Draw21%
Belarus Win63%
BTTS51%
Over 2.555%