Match Analysis

ScotlandvsSlovenia

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

33%
28%
39%
Scotland winDrawSlovenia win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.00
0.79Avg goals scored1.28
1.27Avg goals conceded0.79
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.1

Scotland xG

Expected goals

1.3

Slovenia xG

49%

Both Teams to Score

43%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

13%

0–1

12%

1–0

10%

0–0

9%

0–2

8%

1–2

8%

Home

Scotland

Scotland

DWLDL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.8 / 1.3

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Slovenia

Slovenia

DLWDL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.3 / 0.8

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Scotland vs Slovenia?

Slovenia is favored with a 39% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Scotland's current form?

Scotland have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 49%. Over 2.5 goals: 43%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Scotland Win33%
Draw28%
Slovenia Win39%
BTTS49%
Over 2.543%