Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1
Serbia xG
Expected goals
1.3
Germany xG
46%
Both Teams to Score
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
13%
1–1
13%
0–0
10%
1–0
10%
0–2
8%
1–2
8%
Home
Serbia
PPG
0.00
Avg goals
0.7 / 2.0
Last 5
0W 0D 5L
Away
Germany
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
0.7 / 0.5
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Serbia vs Germany?
Germany is favored with a 42% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Serbia's current form?
Serbia have recorded 0W 0D 5L in their last 5 matches (0.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 46%. Over 2.5 goals: 40%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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