Match Analysis

SlovakiavsKazakhstan

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

59%
21%
20%
Slovakia winDrawKazakhstan win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game0.40
2.29Avg goals scored1.27
0.50Avg goals conceded1.77
2–3–0Record (W–D–L)0–2–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2

Slovakia xG

Expected goals

1

Kazakhstan xG

55%

Both Teams to Score

58%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

10%

1–1

10%

2–0

10%

2–1

10%

3–0

7%

3–1

7%

Home

Slovakia

Slovakia

DDWWD

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

2.3 / 0.5

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Away

Kazakhstan

Kazakhstan

DLLDL

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.8

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Slovakia vs Kazakhstan?

Slovakia is favored with a 59% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Slovakia's current form?

Slovakia have recorded 2W 3D 0L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Slovakia Win59%
Draw21%
Kazakhstan Win20%
BTTS55%
Over 2.558%