Match Analysis

SloveniavsSwitzerland

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

28%
26%
46%
Slovenia winDrawSwitzerland win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game2.00
1.28Avg goals scored2.74
0.79Avg goals conceded0.26
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.1

Slovenia xG

Expected goals

1.5

Switzerland xG

52%

Both Teams to Score

48%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

0–1

11%

1–2

9%

0–2

8%

1–0

8%

0–0

7%

Home

Slovenia

Slovenia

DLWDL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.3 / 0.8

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Switzerland

Switzerland

DWWWL

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.7 / 0.3

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Slovenia vs Switzerland?

Switzerland is favored with a 46% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Slovenia's current form?

Slovenia have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 52%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Slovenia Win28%
Draw26%
Switzerland Win46%
BTTS52%
Over 2.548%