Match Analysis

SpainvsCzechia

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

71%
16%
13%
Spain winDrawCzechia win

Key Stats

2.60Points per game0.20
2.97Avg goals scored0.49
1.23Avg goals conceded2.53
4–1–0Record (W–D–L)0–1–4

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.6

Spain xG

Expected goals

1

Czechia xG

59%

Both Teams to Score

70%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–0

9%

2–1

9%

3–0

8%

3–1

8%

1–0

7%

1–1

7%

Home

Spain

Spain

DWWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

3.0 / 1.2

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Away

Czechia

Czechia

DLLLL

PPG

0.20

Avg goals

0.5 / 2.5

Last 5

0W 1D 4L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Spain vs Czechia?

Spain is favored with a 71% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Spain's current form?

Spain have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Spain Win71%
Draw16%
Czechia Win13%
BTTS59%
Over 2.570%