Match Analysis

SwedenvsPoland

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

43%
25%
32%
Sweden winDrawPoland win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game1.00
1.71Avg goals scored1.79
0.73Avg goals conceded1.00
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

Sweden xG

Expected goals

1.2

Poland xG

54%

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

1–0

10%

2–1

9%

0–1

8%

2–0

8%

0–0

7%

Home

Sweden

Sweden

WDWWL

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.7 / 0.7

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Poland

Poland

LWLDD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.0

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Sweden vs Poland?

Sweden is favored with a 43% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Sweden's current form?

Sweden have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 54%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Sweden Win43%
Draw25%
Poland Win32%
BTTS54%
Over 2.551%