Match Analysis

SwitzerlandvsSlovenia

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

55%
24%
21%
Switzerland winDrawSlovenia win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game1.00
2.74Avg goals scored1.28
0.26Avg goals conceded0.79
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

Switzerland xG

Expected goals

1

Slovenia xG

52%

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

11%

1–1

11%

2–0

10%

2–1

10%

0–0

7%

0–1

7%

Home

Switzerland

Switzerland

DWWWL

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.7 / 0.3

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Slovenia

Slovenia

DLWDL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.3 / 0.8

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Switzerland vs Slovenia?

Switzerland is favored with a 55% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Switzerland's current form?

Switzerland have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 52%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Switzerland Win55%
Draw24%
Slovenia Win21%
BTTS52%
Over 2.551%