Match Analysis

TürkiyevsBelgium

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

26%
23%
51%
Türkiye winDrawBelgium win

Key Stats

0.60Points per game1.20
0.51Avg goals scored1.50
2.78Avg goals conceded1.33
1–0–4Record (W–D–L)2–0–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.2

Türkiye xG

Expected goals

1.8

Belgium xG

58%

Both Teams to Score

58%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

1–2

10%

0–1

9%

0–2

8%

1–0

6%

1–3

6%

Home

Türkiye

Türkiye

LLLLW

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

0.5 / 2.8

Last 5

1W 0D 4L

Away

Belgium

Belgium

LWLWL

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.3

Last 5

2W 0D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Türkiye vs Belgium?

Belgium is favored with a 51% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Türkiye's current form?

Türkiye have recorded 1W 0D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Türkiye Win26%
Draw23%
Belgium Win51%
BTTS58%
Over 2.558%