Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.2
Türkiye xG
Expected goals
2
Italy xG
60%
Both Teams to Score
62%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
10%
1–2
10%
0–1
8%
0–2
8%
1–3
7%
2–1
6%
Home
Türkiye
PPG
0.60
Avg goals
0.5 / 2.8
Last 5
1W 0D 4L
Away
Italy
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
2.0 / 1.2
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Türkiye vs Italy?
Italy is favored with a 56% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Türkiye's current form?
Türkiye have recorded 1W 0D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 60%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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