Match Analysis

UkrainevsHungary

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

31%
30%
39%
Ukraine winDrawHungary win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game2.00
0.50Avg goals scored0.80
1.32Avg goals conceded0.50
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1

Ukraine xG

Expected goals

1.1

Hungary xG

42%

Both Teams to Score

35%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

13%

1–1

13%

0–0

12%

1–0

12%

0–2

7%

1–2

7%

Home

Ukraine

Ukraine

LLDWL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

0.5 / 1.3

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Hungary

Hungary

WWDLW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

0.8 / 0.5

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Ukraine vs Hungary?

Hungary is favored with a 39% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Ukraine's current form?

Ukraine have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 42%. Over 2.5 goals: 35%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Ukraine Win31%
Draw30%
Hungary Win39%
BTTS42%
Over 2.535%