Ukrainevs
Northern Ireland
UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.8
Ukraine xG
Expected goals
1.2
Northern Ireland xG
38%
Both Teams to Score
32%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
16%
0–0
14%
1–1
13%
1–0
11%
0–2
10%
1–2
8%
Home
Ukraine
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
0.5 / 1.3
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Away
Northern Ireland
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.0 / 0.0
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Ukraine vs Northern Ireland?
Northern Ireland is favored with a 44% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Ukraine's current form?
Ukraine have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.8.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (16% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 38%. Over 2.5 goals: 32%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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